Conned Again, Watson!, Cautionary Tales of Logic, Math, and Probability

 Colin Bruce

Perseus Publishing | 2000 | 290 páginas | pdf | 1,4 Mb

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In these cautionary tales of greedy gamblers, reckless businessmen, and ruthless con men, Sherlock Holmes uses his deep understanding of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory to solve crimes and protect the innocent.

Contents

Preface vii

Acknowledgments ix

1 The Case of the Unfortunate Businessman 1

2 The Case of the Gambling Nobleman 19

3 The Case of the Surprise Heir 45

4 The Case of the Ancient Mariner 65

5 The Case of the Unmarked Graves 85

6 The Case of the Martian Invasion 115

7 Three Cases of Unfair Preferment 141

8 The Execution of Andrews l6l

9 Three Cases of Relative Honor 181

10 The Case of the Poor Observer 207

11 The Case of the Perfect Accountant 225

12 Three Cases of Good Intentions 247

Afterword 275