Randomness

Deborah J. Bennett
Harvard University Press | 1999 | 256 páginas |  PDF | 610 kb

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site sobre o livro: hup.harvard.edu

Descrição: From the ancients' first readings of the innards of birds to your neighbor's last bout with the state lottery, humankind has put itself into the hands of chance. In our modern world, life itself may be at stake when probability comes into play-in the chance of a false negative in a medical test, in the reliability of DNA findings as legal evidence, or in the likelihood of passing on a deadly congenital disease-yet even today, few people understand the odds. This book is aimed at the trouble with trying to learn about probability. A story of the misconceptions and difficulties civilization overcame in progressing toward probabilistic thinking, Randomness is also a skillful account of what makes the science of probability so daunting in our own time.

Contents
1 Chance Encounters 1
2 Why Resort to Chance? 11
3 When the Gods Played Dice 28
4 Figuring the Odds 46
5 Mind Games for Gamblers 64
6 Chance or Necessity? 83
7 Order in Apparent Chaos 109
8 Wanted: Random Numbers 132
9 Randomness as Uncertainty 152
10 Paradoxes in Probability 174
Notes 191
Bibliography 209
Index 233